The Future Market Can Be Very Cruel To The Novice Trader




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The Nicholas Darvas Future Market Success Story (part 3)

I was the perfect pattern of the optimistic, clueless small operator who plunges repeatedly in and out of the future market. I bought future in companies whose names I could not pronounce. What they did and where they came from, I had no idea. Someone told someone who told me. There could have been no more slaphappy, ignorant future market entrepreneur than I was. All I knew was what the last headwaiter in the last nightclub I had performed in had told me was good.

Early in 1953 I was performing in Toronto. Because of my first extraordinary $8,000 break with BRILUND, Canada was the future market land of financial milk and honey as far as I was concerned, so I decided this was a good place to go looking for a hot future market tip. I asked several people if they knew a good, reliable future market broker, and eventually I was recommended to one.

I must admit I was startled and disappointed when I found his office. It was a tiny, dingy, prison-like room full of books, with strange scrawls on the walls. Later I found out that these are called future market charts. There did not seem much smell of success or efficiency. Sitting at a roll top desk was a busy little man poring over future market statistics and books. When I asked him if he knew a good future he reacted at once.

He smiled and pulled out of his pocket a dividend check bearing the name of a famous gold company, KERRADDISON.

He stood up and said: "My friend, take a good look at that. That dividend check is worth five times what my father paid for the original future. That is the sort of future everyone looks for."

A dividend five times the price of he originally paid for it in the future market! This excited me as it would any man. The dividend was 80 cents so his father must have paid only 16 cents for the future. It looked beautiful to me. I did not realize he had probably been holding his father's future for thirty-five years.

The little man described to me how he had been looking for that kind of future for years. In view of his father's success he felt the answer must be in gold mines. He confided to me that he had at last found it. It was called EASTERN MALARTIC. Working with his production figures, estimates and financial information, he reckoned that these gold mines were capable of twice their present gold production; therefore five dollars invested in their future in the future market would soon be worth ten dollars.

On this piece of erudite information I immediately bought 1,000 shares of EASTERN MALARTIC at 290 cents. As I watched anxiously, it went to 270 cents, then to 260. Within weeks it was down to 241 cents, and I hastily sold my shares in the future market. I decided this painstaking, statistically minded future market broker did not have the answer to making a fortune.

Yet the future market continued to fascinate me. I went on following any tip but I seldom made money in the future market. If I did, it was immediately offset by my losses.

I was such a future market novice that I did not even understand about future market broker's commission and transfer taxes. For instance, I bought KAYRAND MINES in January 1953. It was a 10-cent future, and I bought 10,000 shares.

I watched the market like a cat and when next day KAYRAND went to 11 cents per share, I called my future market broker and told him to sell. By my reckoning I had made $100 in 24 hours, and I thought I was being smart by taking a quick small profit.

When I talked to my broker again he said: "Why did you decide to take a loss?" - "A loss?" I had made a hundred dollars!

He gently explained to me that the future market broker's commission for buying 10,000 shares was $50, and for reselling the shares next day it was another $50. In addition, there were transfer taxes on the sale.  

 

This article is actually only a small snippet of Nicolas Darvas' work...

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