Almost Everyone Suffers A Loss In The Commoditymarket Before They Start Making Money




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The Nicholas Darvas Commoditymarket Success Story (part 4)

KAYRAND was just one of the many strange commoditymarket shares I owned at that time. Others included MOGUL MINES, CONSOLIDATED SUDBURY BASIN MINES, QUEBEC SMELTING, REXSPAR, JAYE EXPLORATION. I made money on none of them.

Yet I spent a happy year on this Canadian commoditymarket buying and selling. I felt I was the successful businessman, the big commoditymarket operator. I jumped in and out of the commoditymarket like a grasshopper. I was delighted if I made two points. I often owned 25 to 30 commoditymarket shares at one time, all in small parcels.

For some of them I acquired a special liking. This came about for different reasons. Sometimes it was because a good friend of mine gave them to me, other times, because I had started by making money with them. This led me to prefer these commoditymarket shares more than others, and before I knew what I was doing I had started to keep "pets."

I thought of them as something belonging to me, like members of my family. I praised their virtues day and night. I talked about them as one talks about his children. It did not bother me that no one else could see any special virtue in my pet shares in the commoditymarket to distinguish them from any other stocks. This state of mind lasted until I realized that my pet stocks were causing me my heaviest losses in the commoditymarket.

In a few months my record of transactions looked like the commoditymarket trading record of a small scale stock exchange. I felt I was doing all right. I appeared to be ahead. If I had carefully studied my statements I would not have felt quite so happy. I would have realized that, like a horseplayer, I was buoyed up and excited by small gains in the commoditymarket, and overlooked my losses in the commoditymarket. I completely ignored the fact that I was holding a lot of stock that was standing well below the price I had paid for it and looked like staying there.

It was a period of wild, foolish gambling with no effort to find the reasons for my operations. I followed "hunches." I went by god-sent names, rumors of uranium-finds, oil strikes, anything anyone told me. When there were constant losses an occasional small gain gave me hope, like the carrot before the donkey's nose.

Then one day, after I had been buying and selling for about seven months, I decided to go over my books. When I added up the values of the bad stocks I was holding I found I had lost almost $3,000 in the commoditymarket.

It was on that day that I began to suspect there was something wrong with my commoditymarket scheme. A ghost at the back of my mind began to whisper to me that, in fact, I had no idea what I was doing.

Yet I was still ahead. I consoled myself that I had not touched the $3,000 I had originally paid for BRILUND, and I had about $5,000 of my profit from that transaction besides. But, if I continued like this, how much longer would I be able to stay in the commoditymarket?

Here is just one page from my profit-and-loss accounting. It tells the whole sad story of defeat in microcosm.

OLD SMOKY GAS & OILS
Bought at 19 cents Sold at 10 cents
KAYRAND MINES
Bought at 12 cents Sold at 8 cents
REXSPAR
Bought at 130 cents Sold at 110 cents
12
QUEBEC SMELTING & REFINING
Bought at 22 cents Sold at 14 cents

Obsessed by my carrot-before-the-nose gains, I had not noticed I was losing an average of a hundred dollars a week in the commoditymarket.

It was my first commoditymarket dilemma. The commoditymarket had several much more serious dilemmas in store for me in the next six years but this one was in some ways the worst. On my decision at this point depended whether I would continue to operate in the commoditymarket. I decided to stay and have another try.



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